An introduction to statistical modeling and probabilistic programming using PyMC3 and ArviZKey FeaturesA step-by-step guide to conduct Bayesian data analyses using PyMC3 and ArviZA modern, practical and computational approach to Bayesian statistical modelingA tutorial for Bayesian analysis and best practices with the help of sample problems and practice exercises.Code and figuresThe paperback version is in black and white. You can find the code and the color figures in this GitHub repository github.com/aloctavodia/BAP/You can also use this repository to report any problem you find with the book or code.Book Description The second edition of Bayesian Analysis with Python is an introduction to the main concepts of applied Bayesian inference and its practical implementation in Python using PyMC3, a state-of-the-art probabilistic programming library, and ArviZ a new library for exploratory analysis of Bayesian models. The main concepts of Bayesian statistics are covered using a practical and computational approach. Synthetic and real data sets are used to introduce several types of models such as generalized linear models for regression and classification, mixture models, hierarchical models and Gaussian process among others. By the end of the book, you will have a working knowledge of probabilistic modeling and you will be able to design and implement Bayesian models for your own data science problems. After reading the book you will be better prepared to delve into more advance material or specialized statistical modeling in case you need it.What you will learnBuild probabilistic models using the Python library PyMC3Analyze probabilistic models with the help of ArviZAcquire the skills required to sanity check models and modify them if necessaryUnderstand the advantages and caveats of hierarchical modelsFind out how different models can be used to answer different data analysis questionsCompare models and choose between alternative onesDiscover how different models are unified under a probabilistic perspectiveThink probabilistically and benefit from the flexibility of the Bayesian frameworkWho This Book Is For If you are a student, data scientist, researcher in the natural or social sciences, or a developer looking to get started with Bayesian data analysis and probabilistic programming, this book is for you. The book is introductory so no previous statistical knowledge is required,although some experience in using Python and NumPy is expected.Table of ContentsThinking ProbabilisticallyProgramming ProbabilisticallyModeling with Linear RegressionGeneralizing Linear ModelsModel ComparisonMixture ModelsGaussian ProcessesInference EnginesWhere to go next?
Author: Osvaldo Martin